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Qual 162025 NYC Robo Replay
Red102
1041316.3
180759.1
529824.2
Blue59
286925.9
963620.5
1022910.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1506705010020025030010259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+31Teleop
+39Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +38
16Coral scored#9
56Coral points32
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
78Total teleop40
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#3
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#13
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
6Foul points2
102Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1807
#7
59.12.0
68.7→66.7
Auto13.7
Teleop40.5
End5.0
red by 33.2
2869
#16
25.91.2
35.8→34.7
Auto5.8
Teleop16.4
End3.7
Second
5298
#9
24.22.0
31.5→29.5
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End2.2
red by 3.7
9636
#22
20.51.2
16.4→15.2
Auto2.5
Teleop16.8
End1.2
Third
10413
#17
16.32.0
15.3→13.3
Auto2.1
Teleop12.1
End2.1
red by 5.9
10229
#11
10.41.2
10.7→9.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed