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Red78
999929.6
529824.2
1041316.3
Blue82
964223.0
36929.4
542111.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706102040801001201407882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points7
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +17
7Coral scored#9
25Coral points32
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
43Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
78Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.4
28.027.5
Auto7.6
Teleop14.4
End7.5
red by 0.3
369
#3
29.41.1
23.024.1
Auto3.4
Teleop25.6
End0.4
Second
24.20.3
29.529.3
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End2.2
red by 1.2
23.01.1
25.826.9
Auto6.9
Teleop13.1
End3.0
Third
16.30.3
12.512.2
Auto2.1
Teleop12.1
End2.1
red by 4.6
5421
#20
11.81.1
7.99.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed