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Red142
69489.7
286925.9
659320.9
Blue63
99977.2
1022910.4
188021.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1921705010015025030014263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+65Teleop
+75Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +44
17Coral scored#7
60Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
84Total teleop40
Reef
9L4#2
5L3#3
6L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
12Foul points8
142Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
89.72.5
90.688.1
Auto22.3
Teleop57.5
End9.9
red by 67.8
1880
#13
21.90.7
25.224.6
Auto5.5
Teleop15.4
End1.0
Second
2869
#16
25.92.5
32.129.6
Auto5.8
Teleop16.4
End3.7
red by 15.5
10.40.7
9.58.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End0.5
Third
6593
#15
20.92.5
19.216.8
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End2.4
red by 13.6
9997
#21
7.21.1
9.38.2
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
70%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned