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Qual 232025 NYC Robo Replay
Red147
179674.2
341945.6
27121.5
Blue78
963620.5
16018.0
33330.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17749010015020025030014778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+45Auto
+61Teleop
+71Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +45
6Leave0
9Coral scored#1
45Coral points6
51Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +16
18Coral scored#10
66Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
80Total teleop64
Reef
9L4#4
9L3#3
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
0Foul points2
147Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1796
#2
74.20.1
72.4→72.3
Auto25.9
Teleop42.3
End6.0
red by 43.7
333
#10
30.50.8
34.8→35.6
Auto5.1
Teleop21.7
End3.7
Second
3419
#5
45.60.1
42.2→42.1
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End5.6
red by 25.1
9636
#22
20.50.8
15.2→16.0
Auto2.5
Teleop16.8
End1.2
Third
271
#19
21.50.1
22.4→22.3
Auto3.1
Teleop17.2
End1.2
red by 13.5
1601
#18
8.00.8
4.9→5.7
Auto2.5
Teleop4.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
68%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed