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Red182
341945.6
69489.7
99977.2
Blue146
691149.5
180759.1
286925.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153147100120140160180200182146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+8Teleop
+18Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points30
44Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +3
17Coral scored#17
60Coral points61
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
12Processor points18
24Net points20
36Algae points38
96Total teleop99
Reef
13L4#10
6L3#4
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
18Foul points0
182Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
89.71.7
88.189.8
Auto22.3
Teleop57.5
End9.9
red by 30.5
59.10.5
61.862.3
Auto13.7
Teleop40.5
End5.0
Second
45.61.7
42.143.8
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End5.6
blue by 3.9
49.50.5
47.548.0
Auto12.7
Teleop31.9
End4.9
Third
9997
#21
7.22.8
8.211.1
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End2.0
blue by 18.7
2869
#16
25.90.5
29.630.1
Auto5.8
Teleop16.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsEarned18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned