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Red188
179674.2
33330.5
36929.4
Blue85
529824.2
659320.9
1022910.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17459010015020025030018885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+95Teleop
+105Endgame
+103Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +81
26Coral scored#12
95Coral points42
4Processor algae#2
8Net algae#4
24Processor points12
32Net points16
56Algae points28
151Total teleop70
Reef
10L4#5
11L3#4
4L2#2
6L1 · trough#1
43Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +103
0Foul points2
188Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.21.9
72.374.2
Auto25.9
Teleop42.3
End6.0
red by 50.0
24.20.3
29.329.6
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End2.2
Second
333
#10
30.51.9
35.637.5
Auto5.1
Teleop21.7
End3.7
red by 9.6
6593
#15
20.90.3
16.817.0
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Third
369
#3
29.41.9
24.126.0
Auto3.4
Teleop25.6
End0.4
red by 19.0
10.40.3
8.89.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
61%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsMissed