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Red115
542111.8
180759.1
Blue125
964223.0
286925.9
179674.2
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89161050200250300115125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+20
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points37
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +6
12Coral scored#16
44Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
76Total teleop82
Reef
6L4#9
5L3#7
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
115Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.11.6
62.363.8
Auto13.7
Teleop40.5
End5.0
blue by 15.1
74.21.1
74.273.1
Auto25.9
Teleop42.3
End6.0
Second
5421
#20
11.81.6
8.510.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End2.2
blue by 14.2
2869
#16
25.91.1
30.129.0
Auto5.8
Teleop16.4
End3.7
Third
8.91.6
9.210.7
Auto3.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
blue by 14.1
23.01.1
26.225.1
Auto6.9
Teleop13.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed75%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsMissed