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Red86
341945.6
1041316.3
542111.8
Blue92
1022910.4
27121.5
659320.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88630501001508692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+2Teleop
+14Endgame
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +11
13Coral scored#10
46Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
64Total teleop53
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points20
86Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.60.8
43.844.6
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End5.6
red by 24.1
271
#19
21.50.9
23.023.9
Auto3.1
Teleop17.2
End1.2
Second
16.30.8
12.012.8
Auto2.1
Teleop12.1
End2.1
blue by 4.6
6593
#15
20.90.9
17.018.0
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Third
5421
#20
11.80.8
10.110.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End2.2
red by 1.4
10.40.9
9.110.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed