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Red129
691149.5
16018.0
999929.6
Blue149
963620.5
36929.4
69489.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64168050100150200250129149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+28
Endgame+16
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points14
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +24
17Coral scored#17
60Coral points62
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#8
6Processor points12
16Net points32
22Algae points44
82Total teleop106
Reef
5L4#10
6L3#3
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#30
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
2Foul points6
129Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.52.0
48.050.0
Auto12.7
Teleop31.9
End4.9
blue by 40.2
694
#1
89.70.5
89.889.4
Auto22.3
Teleop57.5
End9.9
Second
29.63.1
26.429.5
Auto7.6
Teleop14.4
End7.5
red by 0.3
369
#3
29.40.5
26.025.6
Auto3.4
Teleop25.6
End0.4
Third
1601
#18
8.02.0
5.57.5
Auto2.5
Teleop4.2
End1.3
blue by 12.5
9636
#22
20.50.5
17.517.1
Auto2.5
Teleop16.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed67%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned