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Red83
286925.9
341945.6
529824.2
Blue122
180759.1
188021.9
16018.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11510705015020025030035083122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+37
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave6
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points23
23Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +31
8Coral scored#14
30Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
44Total teleop75
Reef
6L4#5
2L3#6
2L2#6
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
2Foul points2
83Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.61.4
45.343.9
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End5.6
blue by 13.6
59.11.8
63.465.2
Auto13.7
Teleop40.5
End5.0
Second
2869
#16
25.91.4
30.128.7
Auto5.8
Teleop16.4
End3.7
red by 4.1
1880
#13
21.91.8
21.523.3
Auto5.5
Teleop15.4
End1.0
Third
24.21.4
26.525.1
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End2.2
red by 16.2
1601
#18
8.01.8
8.09.8
Auto2.5
Teleop4.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned