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Qual 372025 NYC Robo Replay
Red57
9998-1.8
963620.5
33427.7
Blue108
36929.4
659320.9
1041316.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7966010015020025030035040057108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+31
Endgame+33
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points16
10Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +25
9Coral scored#14
31Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
45Total teleop70
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points18
57Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
334
#12
27.70.1
28.3→28.4
Auto5.4
Teleop21.5
End0.7
blue by 1.7
369
#3
29.41.7
26.9→28.5
Auto3.4
Teleop25.6
End0.4
Second
9636
#22
20.50.1
17.8→17.8
Auto2.5
Teleop16.8
End1.2
blue by 0.4
6593
#15
20.91.7
17.4→19.1
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Third
9998
#23
-1.80.1
-1.3→-1.2
Auto2.1
Teleop-3.7
End-0.2
blue by 18.1
10413
#17
16.31.7
11.6→13.2
Auto2.1
Teleop12.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsEarned