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Red134
1022910.4
691149.5
69489.7
Blue65
27121.5
999929.6
542111.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19845010015025030013465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+63Teleop
+71Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
6Leave9
7Coral scored#0
35Coral points0
41Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
15Coral scored#8
53Coral points28
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
18Processor points12
8Net points8
26Algae points20
79Total teleop48
Reef
10L4#2
6L3#3
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#12
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
0Foul points2
134Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
89.71.8
89.988.1
Auto22.3
Teleop57.5
End9.9
red by 60.1
29.61.3
31.129.8
Auto7.6
Teleop14.4
End7.5
Second
49.51.8
48.847.0
Auto12.7
Teleop31.9
End4.9
red by 28.0
271
#19
21.50.9
23.923.0
Auto3.1
Teleop17.2
End1.2
Third
10.41.8
11.39.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End0.5
blue by 1.4
5421
#20
11.80.9
10.910.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
76%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed