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Red18
542111.8
99977.2
963620.5
Blue38
36929.4
16018.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23600501001501838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+22
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +18
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points21
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
3Total teleop21
Reef
0L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
18Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9636
#22
20.51.2
17.816.7
Auto2.5
Teleop16.8
End1.2
blue by 8.9
369
#3
29.40.6
28.527.9
Auto3.4
Teleop25.6
End0.4
Second
5421
#20
11.81.2
10.08.8
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End2.2
red by 2.9
8.90.6
8.57.9
Auto3.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Third
9997
#21
7.21.4
7.66.2
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End2.0
blue by 0.8
1601
#18
8.00.6
9.89.2
Auto2.5
Teleop4.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed