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Red151
69489.7
529824.2
999929.6
Blue72
27121.5
33330.5
180759.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159140608010012018020022015172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+55Teleop
+77Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
9Leave0
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
33Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +28
20Coral scored#11
72Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
92Total teleop64
Reef
10L4#6
7L3#3
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#17
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
2Foul points0
151Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
89.70.8
88.187.3
Auto22.3
Teleop57.5
End9.9
red by 30.5
59.14.4
65.260.8
Auto13.7
Teleop40.5
End5.0
Second
29.60.9
29.828.9
Auto7.6
Teleop14.4
End7.5
blue by 0.8
333
#10
30.54.4
33.929.5
Auto5.1
Teleop21.7
End3.7
Third
24.20.8
25.124.4
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End2.2
red by 2.7
271
#19
21.54.4
23.018.5
Auto3.1
Teleop17.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
71%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed