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Red108
691149.5
9998-1.8
179674.2
Blue109
1022910.4
341945.6
188021.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17581050100150200250108109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave0
8Coral scored#5
41Coral points23
41Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +5
11Coral scored#16
41Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
61Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#6
7L3#7
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points14
108Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.21.9
74.272.2
Auto25.9
Teleop42.3
End6.0
red by 28.6
45.60.2
43.944.2
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End5.6
Second
49.51.9
47.045.0
Auto12.7
Teleop31.9
End4.9
red by 27.7
1880
#13
21.90.2
23.323.5
Auto5.5
Teleop15.4
End1.0
Third
9998
#23
-1.82.4
-1.2-3.6
Auto2.1
Teleop-3.7
End-0.2
blue by 12.2
10.40.2
9.59.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
74%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsMissed