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Red78
999929.6
188021.9
659320.9
Blue125
36929.4
341945.6
180759.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55160010020025078125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+47
Endgame+45
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points11
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +39
10Coral scored#20
36Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
60Total teleop99
Reef
5L4#8
2L3#5
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points2
78Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.61.1
28.927.8
Auto7.6
Teleop14.4
End7.5
blue by 29.5
59.11.7
60.859.1
Auto13.7
Teleop40.5
End5.0
Second
1880
#13
21.91.0
23.522.5
Auto5.5
Teleop15.4
End1.0
blue by 23.7
45.61.7
44.242.5
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End5.6
Third
6593
#15
20.91.0
19.618.6
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End2.4
blue by 8.5
369
#3
29.41.7
27.926.3
Auto3.4
Teleop25.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsMissed