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Red56
99977.2
9998-1.8
286925.9
Blue184
963620.5
691149.5
179674.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3016805010015020025056184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+38
Teleop+112
Endgame+122
Fouls+128
AutonomousBlue +38
9Leave6
1Coral scored#9
4Coral points45
13Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +74
7Coral scored#20
25Coral points71
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
6Processor points18
8Net points24
14Algae points42
39Total teleop113
Reef
4L4#13
2L3#6
1L2#6
1L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +128
0Foul points6
56Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2869
#16
25.90.9
25.726.6
Auto5.8
Teleop16.4
End3.7
blue by 48.3
74.22.0
72.274.2
Auto25.9
Teleop42.3
End6.0
Second
9997
#21
7.21.0
6.27.2
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End2.0
blue by 42.3
49.52.0
45.047.0
Auto12.7
Teleop31.9
End4.9
Third
9998
#23
-1.81.0
-3.6-2.6
Auto2.1
Teleop-3.7
End-0.2
blue by 22.3
9636
#22
20.52.0
16.718.7
Auto2.5
Teleop16.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned