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Red167
1022910.4
69489.7
1041316.3
Blue85
33330.5
964223.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1537305010020025016785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+76Teleop
+76Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave9
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points3
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +58
25Coral scored#13
91Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
127Total teleop69
Reef
12L4#4
8L3#5
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#1
38Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +82
6Foul points0
167Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
89.72.3
87.389.7
Auto22.3
Teleop57.5
End9.9
red by 59.2
333
#10
30.50.7
29.530.2
Auto5.1
Teleop21.7
End3.7
Second
16.32.3
13.716.1
Auto2.1
Teleop12.1
End2.1
blue by 6.7
23.00.7
24.024.7
Auto6.9
Teleop13.1
End3.0
Third
10.42.3
9.712.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End0.5
red by 1.5
8.90.7
7.98.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
73%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed