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Red210
99977.2
179674.2
69489.7
Blue124
341945.6
36929.4
659320.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19893050150250300350210124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+86Teleop
+86Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
0Leave6
12Coral scored#4
58Coral points20
58Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +54
20Coral scored#19
72Coral points68
4Processor algae#1
10Net algae#2
24Processor points6
40Net points8
64Algae points14
136Total teleop82
Reef
13L4#7
11L3#6
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
46Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +86
0Foul points0
210Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
89.70.8
87.488.2
Auto22.3
Teleop57.5
End9.9
red by 44.1
45.60.7
44.044.7
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End5.6
Second
74.20.8
72.072.8
Auto25.9
Teleop42.3
End6.0
red by 44.8
369
#3
29.40.7
27.828.5
Auto3.4
Teleop25.6
End0.4
Third
9997
#21
7.20.8
5.05.8
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End2.0
blue by 13.6
6593
#15
20.90.7
19.320.1
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End2.4