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Red153
27121.5
691149.5
542111.8
Blue137
33427.7
963620.5
999929.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93790200300400153137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+26Teleop
+28Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +19
19Coral scored#14
70Coral points49
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
24Processor points18
20Net points28
44Algae points46
114Total teleop95
Reef
9L4#5
5L3#4
6L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points12
153Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.51.3
49.250.5
Auto12.7
Teleop31.9
End4.9
red by 19.9
29.60.8
28.829.6
Auto7.6
Teleop14.4
End7.5
Second
271
#19
21.51.3
21.222.5
Auto3.1
Teleop17.2
End1.2
blue by 6.2
334
#12
27.70.8
26.927.7
Auto5.4
Teleop21.5
End0.7
Third
5421
#20
11.81.3
11.412.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End2.2
blue by 8.7
9636
#22
20.50.8
19.720.5
Auto2.5
Teleop16.8
End1.2