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Red104
341945.6
9998-1.8
36929.4
Blue74
1041316.3
33330.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1056105015020010474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+38Teleop
+36Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +30
15Coral scored#9
54Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
6Processor points6
20Net points12
26Algae points18
80Total teleop50
Reef
8L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points6
104Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.60.8
42.543.3
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End5.6
red by 15.1
333
#10
30.50.2
30.230.4
Auto5.1
Teleop21.7
End3.7
Second
369
#3
29.40.8
26.327.1
Auto3.4
Teleop25.6
End0.4
red by 13.0
16.30.2
16.116.3
Auto2.1
Teleop12.1
End2.1
Third
9998
#23
-1.80.8
-2.6-1.8
Auto2.1
Teleop-3.7
End-0.2
blue by 10.7
8.90.2
8.68.9
Auto3.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1