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Red116
27121.5
691149.5
542111.8
Blue86
286925.9
188021.9
529824.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868440506070809010011012011686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +22
14Coral scored#12
49Coral points43
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
12Processor points0
16Net points12
28Algae points12
77Total teleop55
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#5
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points6
116Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.50.9
47.047.9
Auto12.7
Teleop31.9
End4.9
red by 23.6
2869
#16
25.90.1
26.626.8
Auto5.8
Teleop16.4
End3.7
Second
271
#19
21.50.9
19.019.9
Auto3.1
Teleop17.2
End1.2
blue by 2.7
24.20.1
24.925.0
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End2.2
Third
5421
#20
11.80.9
9.310.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End2.2
blue by 10.1
1880
#13
21.90.1
22.522.7
Auto5.5
Teleop15.4
End1.0