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Red47
1041316.3
33330.5
Blue44
188021.9
286925.9
529824.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67920501502002504744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+5
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +8
4Coral scored#5
14Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
18Total teleop26
Reef
1L4#1
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +3
14Foul points6
47Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#10
30.50.5
30.429.9
Auto5.1
Teleop21.7
End3.7
red by 4.5
2869
#16
25.90.8
26.825.9
Auto5.8
Teleop16.4
End3.7
Second
16.30.5
16.315.8
Auto2.1
Teleop12.1
End2.1
blue by 7.8
24.20.8
25.024.2
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End2.2
Third
8.90.5
8.98.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
blue by 12.9
1880
#13
21.90.8
22.721.9
Auto5.5
Teleop15.4
End1.0