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Red197
99977.2
179674.2
69489.7
Blue81
33427.7
963620.5
999929.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20560010015025030035019781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+45Auto
+114Teleop
+116Endgame
+116Fouls
AutonomousRed +45
9Leave9
10Coral scored#1
49Coral points4
58Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +69
26Coral scored#11
95Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
123Total teleop54
Reef
8L4#4
9L3#4
11L2#2
8L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +116
0Foul points0
197Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
89.70.8
86.787.4
Auto22.3
Teleop57.5
End9.9
red by 60.1
29.60.2
28.128.2
Auto7.6
Teleop14.4
End7.5
Second
74.20.8
71.272.0
Auto25.9
Teleop42.3
End6.0
red by 46.5
334
#12
27.70.2
26.126.3
Auto5.4
Teleop21.5
End0.7
Third
9997
#21
7.20.8
4.25.0
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End2.0
blue by 13.2
9636
#22
20.50.2
18.919.1
Auto2.5
Teleop16.8
End1.2