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Red109
87047.9
26324.0
146851.2
Blue167
35352.1
573662.8
56421.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131140100150200109167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+56
Endgame+58
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave0
3Coral scored#9
16Coral points44
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +28
15Coral scored#23
55Coral points81
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
75Total teleop103
Reef
7L4#9
4L3#9
5L2#10
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +58
6Foul points6
109Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1468
#17
51.20.6
51.851.2
Auto10.7
Teleop36.5
End4.0
blue by 11.6
62.80.6
62.262.8
Auto21.3
Teleop33.9
End7.6
Second
870
#3
47.90.6
48.547.9
Auto10.8
Teleop30.2
End7.0
blue by 4.2
353
#5
52.10.6
51.552.1
Auto11.9
Teleop38.4
End1.9
Third
263
#19
24.00.5
24.524.0
Auto5.9
Teleop17.9
End0.3
red by 3.1
564
#22
21.00.6
20.421.0
Auto4.8
Teleop14.9
End1.3