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Red99
87047.9
26324.0
146851.2
Blue151
35352.1
573662.8
56421.0
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13513710012016018099151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+52
Endgame+64
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
3Coral scored#7
14Coral points37
20Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +35
14Coral scored#17
51Coral points62
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
6Processor points18
8Net points20
14Algae points38
65Total teleop100
Reef
8L4#11
3L3#5
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +52
12Foul points0
99Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1468
#17
51.21.1
52.951.8
Auto10.7
Teleop36.5
End4.0
blue by 11.6
62.80.4
61.862.2
Auto21.3
Teleop33.9
End7.6
Second
870
#3
47.91.1
49.648.5
Auto10.8
Teleop30.2
End7.0
blue by 4.2
353
#5
52.10.4
51.151.5
Auto11.9
Teleop38.4
End1.9
Third
263
#19
24.00.9
25.424.5
Auto5.9
Teleop17.9
End0.3
red by 3.1
564
#22
21.00.4
20.020.4
Auto4.8
Teleop14.9
End1.3