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Red165
87047.9
26324.0
146851.2
Blue145
35352.1
573662.8
56421.0
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321376080100120160180200220165145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+16Teleop
+16Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave6
9Coral scored#5
45Coral points24
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +5
17Coral scored#19
62Coral points69
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
24Processor points18
16Net points20
40Algae points38
102Total teleop107
Reef
7L4#7
8L3#7
5L2#4
6L1 · trough#6
34Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +20
6Foul points2
165Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1468
#17
51.20.9
52.052.9
Auto10.7
Teleop36.5
End4.0
blue by 11.6
62.80.2
61.661.8
Auto21.3
Teleop33.9
End7.6
Second
870
#3
47.90.9
48.749.6
Auto10.8
Teleop30.2
End7.0
blue by 4.2
353
#5
52.10.2
50.951.1
Auto11.9
Teleop38.4
End1.9
Third
263
#19
24.00.7
24.725.4
Auto5.9
Teleop17.9
End0.3
red by 3.1
564
#22
21.00.2
19.720.0
Auto4.8
Teleop14.9
End1.3