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Red88
642323.2
28740.2
901638.7
Blue142
35352.1
573662.8
56421.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021395015020088142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+42
Endgame+50
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave9
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points28
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +21
12Coral scored#16
42Coral points59
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
66Total teleop87
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#8
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#5
19Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points4
88Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#4
40.20.3
40.640.2
Auto5.9
Teleop31.5
End2.9
blue by 22.6
62.80.1
61.561.6
Auto21.3
Teleop33.9
End7.6
Second
9016
#13
38.70.3
39.038.7
Auto7.1
Teleop28.3
End3.3
blue by 13.5
353
#5
52.10.1
50.750.9
Auto11.9
Teleop38.4
End1.9
Third
6423
#21
23.20.3
23.623.2
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End1.8
red by 2.3
564
#22
21.00.1
19.619.7
Auto4.8
Teleop14.9
End1.3