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Red75
32948.7
52717.2
287251.1
Blue158
35352.1
573662.8
56421.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123136608010016018020075158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+71
Endgame+83
Fouls+83
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave0
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points37
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +50
10Coral scored#20
37Coral points71
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
55Total teleop105
Reef
5L4#13
3L3#5
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +83
0Foul points0
75Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.11.0
52.151.1
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End4.4
blue by 11.8
62.80.6
60.861.5
Auto21.3
Teleop33.9
End7.6
Second
329
#2
48.71.2
50.048.7
Auto5.8
Teleop37.6
End5.3
blue by 3.4
353
#5
52.10.6
50.150.7
Auto11.9
Teleop38.4
End1.9
Third
527
#38
17.21.2
18.517.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End3.3
blue by 3.8
564
#22
21.00.6
19.019.6
Auto4.8
Teleop14.9
End1.3