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Red127
642323.2
28740.2
901638.7
Blue136
146851.2
26324.0
87047.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10013650150200127136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+11
Endgame+1
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +3
15Coral scored#16
53Coral points58
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
18Processor points18
24Net points16
42Algae points34
95Total teleop92
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#7
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points8
127Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#4
40.20.6
40.040.6
Auto5.9
Teleop31.5
End2.9
blue by 11.0
1468
#17
51.20.1
52.052.0
Auto10.7
Teleop36.5
End4.0
Second
9016
#13
38.70.6
38.439.0
Auto7.1
Teleop28.3
End3.3
blue by 9.2
870
#3
47.90.1
48.648.7
Auto10.8
Teleop30.2
End7.0
Third
6423
#21
23.20.6
23.023.6
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End1.8
blue by 0.8
263
#19
24.00.1
24.624.7
Auto5.9
Teleop17.9
End0.3