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Red58
663611.5
49621.4
155430.0
Blue140
87047.9
286939.0
35352.1
10%Model gave it90%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53122010015020058140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+80
Endgame+82
Fouls+82
AutonomousBlue +24
3Leave6
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +56
9Coral scored#18
32Coral points66
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#4
6Processor points24
12Net points16
18Algae points40
50Total teleop106
Reef
3L4#10
3L3#7
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +82
0Foul points0
58Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1554
#41
30.00.9
19.718.8
Auto3.9
Teleop23.9
End2.1
blue by 22.1
353
#5
52.12.0
40.742.7
Auto11.9
Teleop38.4
End1.9
Second
496
#27
21.40.9
18.117.2
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End-0.3
blue by 26.5
870
#3
47.92.5
34.637.1
Auto10.8
Teleop30.2
End7.0
Third
6636
#30
11.50.9
16.415.5
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End1.5
blue by 27.5
2869
#10
39.02.5
28.130.7
Auto7.1
Teleop26.0
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed