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Red97
969237.2
53327.1
56421.0
Blue79
88411.4
680620.1
146851.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79786570758590959779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave9
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points7
31Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
13Coral scored#10
46Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
60Total teleop55
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#4
5L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points2
97Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9692
#11
37.23.3
27.030.4
Auto11.9
Teleop22.8
End2.5
blue by 14.1
1468
#17
51.20.9
32.032.9
Auto10.7
Teleop36.5
End4.0
Second
533
#32
27.12.9
23.526.4
Auto4.4
Teleop19.1
End3.6
red by 7.0
6806
#31
20.10.9
19.520.3
Auto3.9
Teleop14.6
End1.6
Third
564
#22
21.02.6
16.719.4
Auto4.8
Teleop14.9
End1.3
red by 9.6
884
#43
11.40.9
17.618.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed