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Red105
6014.8
287251.1
87131.0
Blue137
573662.8
456714.9
28740.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85105050150200250105137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+16
Endgame+26
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points28
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +9
13Coral scored#18
45Coral points66
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
18Processor points6
8Net points8
26Algae points14
71Total teleop80
Reef
8L4#9
7L3#8
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points6
105Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.12.1
42.244.3
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End4.4
blue by 11.8
62.83.1
52.055.1
Auto21.3
Teleop33.9
End7.6
Second
871
#35
31.02.6
23.025.6
Auto7.1
Teleop24.3
End-0.4
blue by 9.2
287
#4
40.23.1
27.830.9
Auto5.9
Teleop31.5
End2.9
Third
601
#48
4.82.6
16.419.0
Auto3.5
Teleop0.8
End0.6
blue by 10.1
4567
#24
14.93.9
16.120.0
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned