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Red108
202726.9
180318.9
445841.2
Blue33
1062110.9
24878.9
234710.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions746005010015010833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+79Teleop
+81Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
3Leave3
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +59
19Coral scored#5
67Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
81Total teleop22
Reef
10L4#1
4L3#2
4L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
0Foul points6
108Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.23.3
27.030.3
Auto12.1
Teleop26.6
End2.5
red by 30.4
10.92.4
10.913.3
Auto1.8
Teleop6.9
End2.2
Second
2027
#20
26.93.3
19.522.9
Auto4.8
Teleop19.5
End2.6
red by 16.3
2347
#44
10.64.5
18.714.2
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End1.0
Third
1803
#45
18.93.3
16.920.2
Auto3.1
Teleop14.8
End1.0
red by 10.0
2487
#47
8.94.5
17.613.1
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned