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Red18
642323.2
51412.0
154620.8
Blue67
287537.2
501626.9
80617.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7372204060801001201867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+47
Endgame+43
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +40
1Coral scored#8
4Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
8Total teleop48
Reef
1L4#6
0L3#2
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#14
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points6
18Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6423
#21
23.23.6
17.914.2
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End1.8
blue by 13.9
2875
#12
37.20.7
21.821.1
Auto9.6
Teleop27.5
End0.2
Second
1546
#16
20.84.5
20.315.8
Auto3.0
Teleop16.8
End1.1
blue by 6.1
5016
#23
26.90.6
25.925.3
Auto6.9
Teleop18.8
End1.2
Third
514
#42
12.04.5
20.716.2
Auto2.2
Teleop7.9
End2.0
blue by 5.5
806
#37
17.50.7
19.719.0
Auto5.0
Teleop11.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed