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Red38
52717.2
602415.8
56915.3
Blue92
313721.2
901638.7
395032.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions698002040601001201401603892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+32
Endgame+46
Fouls+54
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +35
6Coral scored#12
23Coral points42
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
27Total teleop62
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points8
38Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
527
#38
17.24.3
22.518.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End3.3
blue by 21.5
9016
#13
38.70.2
35.935.6
Auto7.1
Teleop28.3
End3.3
Second
6024
#34
15.84.3
20.716.4
Auto2.9
Teleop11.1
End1.8
blue by 17.1
32.80.2
15.415.2
Auto7.0
Teleop23.2
End2.7
Third
569
#14
15.34.3
20.015.7
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End0.8
blue by 5.9
3137
#28
21.20.3
20.620.4
Auto2.3
Teleop14.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned