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Red47
81027.0
54521.0
160113.0
Blue72
35822.8
216120.2
26324.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7065204060801001204772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+13
Fouls+25
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +18
6Coral scored#9
21Coral points33
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
25Total teleop43
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points12
47Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
810
#18
27.01.7
25.924.2
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End2.3
red by 2.9
263
#19
24.00.2
18.118.3
Auto5.9
Teleop17.9
End0.3
Second
545
#26
21.01.7
18.416.8
Auto5.6
Teleop13.6
End1.8
blue by 1.8
358
#25
22.80.2
22.022.2
Auto6.6
Teleop14.6
End1.7
Third
1601
#46
13.01.7
17.716.0
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End1.0
blue by 7.2
2161
#15
20.20.2
18.118.3
Auto6.0
Teleop12.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed