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Red40
24878.9
287537.2
88411.4
Blue78
2817.5
56915.3
27123.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617402040801001204078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+14
Fouls+38
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
2Coral scored#1
8Coral points6
17Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +23
3Coral scored#7
9Coral points24
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
9Total teleop32
Reef
1L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
12Foul points36
40Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2875
#12
37.22.7
21.118.4
Auto9.6
Teleop27.5
End0.2
red by 14.1
271
#33
23.11.5
25.123.7
Auto3.8
Teleop17.4
End1.8
Second
884
#43
11.42.7
18.515.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End1.5
blue by 6.1
28
#29
17.52.0
19.317.3
Auto3.6
Teleop12.0
End2.0
Third
2487
#47
8.92.7
13.110.4
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End2.5
blue by 6.4
569
#14
15.32.0
15.713.7
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned