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Red40
180318.9
54521.0
52717.2
Blue79
81027.0
87131.0
456714.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6282020401001201401604079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+51
Endgame+51
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points4
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +44
2Coral scored#9
6Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
6Total teleop50
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
24Foul points12
40Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
545
#26
21.04.7
16.812.1
Auto5.6
Teleop13.6
End1.8
blue by 10.0
871
#35
31.00.6
25.625.0
Auto7.1
Teleop24.3
End-0.4
Second
1803
#45
18.94.7
20.215.5
Auto3.1
Teleop14.8
End1.0
blue by 8.1
810
#18
27.00.6
24.223.6
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End2.3
Third
527
#38
17.24.7
18.213.5
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End3.3
red by 2.3
4567
#24
14.90.6
20.019.4
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed