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Red89
680620.1
573662.8
663611.5
Blue65
501626.9
642323.2
395032.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1075601508965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+14Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points16
30Total auto16
Teleoperatedlevel
10Coral scored#9
35Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
45Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
89Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.80.2
55.154.9
Auto21.3
Teleop33.9
End7.6
red by 30.0
32.80.8
15.216.0
Auto7.0
Teleop23.2
End2.7
Second
6806
#31
20.10.2
20.320.1
Auto3.9
Teleop14.6
End1.6
blue by 6.8
5016
#23
26.90.8
25.326.2
Auto6.9
Teleop18.8
End1.2
Third
6636
#30
11.50.2
15.515.2
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End1.5
blue by 11.7
6423
#21
23.20.8
14.215.0
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed