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Red62
234710.6
56421.0
87131.0
Blue117
87047.9
81027.0
395032.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6491020408010012014062117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+39
Endgame+53
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave3
2Coral scored#4
8Coral points20
17Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +33
9Coral scored#17
33Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
43Total teleop76
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#6
1L1 · trough#5
13Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points2
62Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
871
#35
31.00.2
25.024.7
Auto7.1
Teleop24.3
End-0.4
blue by 16.9
870
#3
47.93.3
39.342.6
Auto10.8
Teleop30.2
End7.0
Second
564
#22
21.00.2
20.320.1
Auto4.8
Teleop14.9
End1.3
blue by 11.9
32.82.2
16.018.3
Auto7.0
Teleop23.2
End2.7
Third
2347
#44
10.60.2
13.713.4
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End1.0
blue by 16.3
810
#18
27.03.3
23.627.0
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned