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Red28
456714.9
27123.1
24878.9
Blue174
155430.0
146851.2
642323.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60790204010012014016028174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+102
Endgame+110
Fouls+146
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
6Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +82
2Coral scored#19
6Coral points68
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
10Total teleop92
Reef
1L4#7
1L3#6
0L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
4Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +146
6Foul points42
28Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
271
#33
23.12.3
23.721.3
Auto3.8
Teleop17.4
End1.8
blue by 28.2
1468
#17
51.27.1
32.439.4
Auto10.7
Teleop36.5
End4.0
Second
4567
#24
14.93.5
19.415.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End0.5
blue by 15.1
1554
#41
30.07.1
21.028.1
Auto3.9
Teleop23.9
End2.1
Third
2487
#47
8.93.5
10.46.9
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End2.5
blue by 14.3
6423
#21
23.24.7
15.019.8
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned