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Red65
88411.4
53327.1
180318.9
Blue82
501626.9
286939.0
154620.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6582020401001201406582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+3
Endgame+13
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +7
11Coral scored#7
39Coral points26
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
53Total teleop46
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
2Foul points6
65Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
533
#32
27.10.7
28.127.4
Auto4.4
Teleop19.1
End3.6
blue by 12.0
2869
#10
39.00.6
30.029.3
Auto7.1
Teleop26.0
End5.9
Second
1803
#45
18.90.9
15.514.6
Auto3.1
Teleop14.8
End1.0
blue by 8.0
5016
#23
26.90.4
26.225.7
Auto6.9
Teleop18.8
End1.2
Third
884
#43
11.40.9
15.714.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End1.5
blue by 9.4
1546
#16
20.80.6
15.214.6
Auto3.0
Teleop16.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsEarned