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Red98
28740.2
602415.8
680620.1
Blue25
964615.1
35822.8
80617.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8362020401001201401609825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+65Teleop
+65Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +58
13Coral scored#3
48Coral points10
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
68Total teleop10
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +73
12Foul points4
98Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#4
40.21.1
31.832.9
Auto5.9
Teleop31.5
End2.9
red by 17.4
358
#25
22.84.1
20.616.5
Auto6.6
Teleop14.6
End1.7
Second
6806
#31
20.11.6
20.121.8
Auto3.9
Teleop14.6
End1.6
red by 2.6
806
#37
17.54.1
18.314.2
Auto5.0
Teleop11.6
End0.9
Third
6024
#34
15.81.6
19.320.9
Auto2.9
Teleop11.1
End1.8
red by 0.7
9646
#36
15.14.1
18.814.7
Auto5.9
Teleop7.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed