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Red78
35352.1
54521.0
1062110.9
Blue137
56915.3
32948.7
969237.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8390020030040078137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+43
Endgame+53
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +29
9Coral scored#13
33Coral points48
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
12Processor points18
8Net points16
20Algae points34
53Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
12Foul points18
78Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
353
#5
52.10.5
44.443.9
Auto11.9
Teleop38.4
End1.9
red by 3.4
329
#2
48.74.7
30.935.6
Auto5.8
Teleop37.6
End5.3
Second
545
#26
21.00.7
12.111.4
Auto5.6
Teleop13.6
End1.8
blue by 16.2
9692
#11
37.24.7
32.437.1
Auto11.9
Teleop22.8
End2.5
Third
10.90.7
15.815.1
Auto1.8
Teleop6.9
End2.2
blue by 4.4
569
#14
15.34.7
13.718.4
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned