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Red52
155430.0
51412.0
24878.9
Blue61
6014.8
313721.2
81027.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5880020401001201405261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+5
Endgame+7
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +2
8Coral scored#9
28Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
42Total teleop44
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points2
52Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1554
#41
30.01.4
28.126.6
Auto3.9
Teleop23.9
End2.1
red by 3.0
810
#18
27.02.8
27.024.2
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End2.3
Second
514
#42
12.01.4
17.916.5
Auto2.2
Teleop7.9
End2.0
blue by 9.2
3137
#28
21.22.8
22.019.2
Auto2.3
Teleop14.6
End4.4
Third
2487
#47
8.91.4
6.95.5
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End2.5
red by 4.1
601
#48
4.82.8
17.414.5
Auto3.5
Teleop0.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed