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Red122
2817.5
573662.8
501626.9
Blue36
216120.2
234710.6
362422.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1196305010015012236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+70Teleop
+78Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
6Leave9
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points3
34Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +48
14Coral scored#3
52Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
62Total teleop14
Reef
5L4#2
8L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
22Game pieces#5
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
12Foul points4
122Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.80.6
55.956.5
Auto21.3
Teleop33.9
End7.6
red by 40.4
3624
#39
22.41.8
22.320.5
Auto4.6
Teleop17.0
End0.8
Second
5016
#23
26.90.6
25.726.3
Auto6.9
Teleop18.8
End1.2
red by 6.7
2161
#15
20.23.0
23.020.0
Auto6.0
Teleop12.7
End1.5
Third
28
#29
17.51.0
19.720.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.0
End2.0
red by 6.8
2347
#44
10.63.0
13.410.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed