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Red48
49621.4
234710.6
26324.0
Blue96
456714.9
32948.7
680620.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions528602040601001201404896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+26
Endgame+30
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +2
0Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
7Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +24
9Coral scored#9
31Coral points33
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
0Processor points18
8Net points12
8Algae points30
39Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points18
48Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#19
24.00.3
18.318.0
Auto5.9
Teleop17.9
End0.3
blue by 24.7
329
#2
48.70.1
33.934.0
Auto5.8
Teleop37.6
End5.3
Second
496
#27
21.40.6
19.318.7
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End-0.3
red by 1.3
6806
#31
20.10.1
21.421.6
Auto3.9
Teleop14.6
End1.6
Third
2347
#44DQ
10.60.6
10.59.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End1.0
blue by 4.3
4567
#24
14.90.1
15.415.6
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed