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Red69
969237.2
24878.9
642323.2
Blue60
362422.4
395032.8
602415.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69763040506080901001106960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +32
9Coral scored#4
32Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
50Total teleop18
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points20
69Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9692
#11
37.20.8
37.638.4
Auto11.9
Teleop22.8
End2.5
red by 4.3
32.81.6
20.719.1
Auto7.0
Teleop23.2
End2.7
Second
6423
#21
23.20.5
18.719.2
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End1.8
red by 0.8
3624
#39
22.41.6
20.518.9
Auto4.6
Teleop17.0
End0.8
Third
2487
#47
8.90.8
5.56.3
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End2.5
blue by 6.9
6024
#34
15.82.6
22.419.8
Auto2.9
Teleop11.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned