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Red113
501626.9
202726.9
901638.7
Blue69
80617.5
160113.0
28740.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10561020408012014016011369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+32Teleop
+34Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points16
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
14Coral scored#9
51Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
69Total teleop51
Reef
9L4#5
4L3#4
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
10Foul points0
113Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9016
#13
38.70.8
40.341.1
Auto7.1
Teleop28.3
End3.3
blue by 1.6
287
#4
40.20.5
33.934.4
Auto5.9
Teleop31.5
End2.9
Second
2027
#20
26.91.3
24.726.0
Auto4.8
Teleop19.5
End2.6
red by 9.4
806
#37
17.50.8
11.812.6
Auto5.0
Teleop11.6
End0.9
Third
5016
#23
26.90.8
26.327.1
Auto6.9
Teleop18.8
End1.2
red by 13.9
1601
#46
13.00.8
16.216.9
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed